Ukraine’s long-term global shares of major commodity exports to remain at or below prewar shares

Line chart showing Ukraine exports’ share of global market for sunflower seed oil, wheat, sunflower seed, corn, barley, and sunflower seed meal from marketing years 1999/2000 to 2023/24 and projected through 2033/34.

Ukraine has become a top global supplier of several agricultural commodities including corn, wheat, and sunflower seed. However, Russia’s war against Ukraine is challenging Ukraine’s ability to increase grain and oilseed production to meet rising demand.

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