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Oil Crops Outlook: May 2012

  • by Mark Ash
  • 5/17/2012
  • OCS-12e

Overview

Using a long-term yield trend of 43.9 bushels per acre and an estimated harvested area of 73 million acres, the U.S. soybean crop for 2012 is projected up 5 percent to 3.205 billion bushels. Fast early shipments are forecast to raise U.S. soybean exports for 2012/13 to a record 1.505 billion bushels. Season-ending soybean stocks are projected at 145 million bushels-near an all-time low as a percentage of total use. Another record high could be set in 2012/13 for the U.S. soybean farm price at $12 to $14 per bushel.

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