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Fruit and Tree Nuts - Market Outlook

See the latest Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook report.

Florida Orange Forecast Down in 2024/25

Note: Effective April 2025, Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook will publish at 2:00 p.m. ET.

The most recent Florida all orange crop forecast (March 2025) for 2024/25 is 522,000 tons, down 35 percent from the 2023/24 final utilized total of 808,000 tons. If realized, the 2024/25 Florida orange crop would be the smallest in 95 years. The USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Crop Production report forecasts Florida’s combined early, midseason and Navel orange production and Valencia orange production will fall 32 and 38 percent, respectively, compared to 2023/24. In October 2024, Hurricane Milton ripped across the Florida peninsula and through prime citrus producing counties. The storm caused millions of dollars in damage, dealing further blows to Florida’s citrus industry already beset with challenges from the devastating botanical disease Huanglongbing (citrus greening). Despite considerable attrition of the State’s citrus industry, Florida oranges continue to play a major role in the U.S. orange juice industry, accounting for 49 percent of the oranges used in domestic production in the 2023/24 season.

Bar graph of two different types of flordia oranges from 2018/19 to 2024/25

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