Classifying and Measuring Agricultural Support: Identifying Differences Between the WTO and OECD Systems
by
Anne EfflandEconomic Information Bulletin No. (EIB-74) 24 pp, March 2011
What Is the Issue?
Most nations provide some level of support to their agricultural
sectors. Different types of support can affect producers and
consumers both in the supporting country and in other countries. As
such, measures of domestic agricultural support are highly
contested in the negotiation of trade agreements. Two key systems
have emerged for classifying and comparing agricultural support
levels across countries. The World Trade Organization's (WTO)
notification system produces the Aggregate Measurement of Support
(AMS); member governments, in adherence to a formal trade
agreement, submit their own data, though such notifications may be
submitted irregularly due to lack of capacity or lack of timely and
complete data. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development's (OECD) Producer Support Estimate (PSE) is also a
consensus framework among member nations, but its purpose is to
facilitate dialogue on policy reform and effective policy design.
The OECD measure relies on data provided by members, supplemented
with other sources by OECD experts in order to make annual
estimates of transfers across sectors of the economy.
Governments, nongovernmental organizations, researchers, and
journalists use both measures regularly to compare the levels and
types of support to agriculture across countries. Since both
systems produce measures based on the same support programs, some
users may attempt to use the OECD measure as a proxy for the WTO
measure, which is more narrowly focused and more irregularly
reported. But because these two systems were developed for
different purposes, they are not identical in their classification
schemes, their policy inclusiveness, and their methodologies. These
differences can result in surprisingly different results.
What Did the Study Find?
• The WTO classification system requires members to categorize
their programs according to rules regarding their expected
trade-distorting impacts, which determines whether those programs
are subject to each member's maximum support commitments under the
Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture. The OECD system classifies
programs based on criteria related to program implementation,
rather than expected impacts, and programs are separated based on
whether support is to producers, consumers, or the agriculture
sector generally.
• For the United States, these classification and measurement
differences are reflected in a higher level of domestic
agricultural support reported under the OECD system compared to the
WTO system. From 1995 to 2007, average annual domestic support
reported under the WTO system ranged from 68 percent to 90 percent
of that reported under the OECD system.
• In some cases the two systems employ different methods to
measure the same type of support; for example, the methods used by
the WTO and OECD systems to calculate market price support (MPS)
yield strikingly different results. Because the OECD method uses
the gap between two current (domestic and world) prices to
calculate MPS, the amount of MPS may vary widely from year to year.
When world prices are high, the gap between a supported domestic
price and world price will likely be small, reducing MPS; when
world prices fall, that gap will likely increase and MPS will be
higher. In contrast, the MPS calculated under the WTO system
compares the same fixed world reference price (the 1986-88 average)
with a domestic administered price, so when the domestic
administered price is stable, the WTO's MPS method will result in
only slight variation from year to year based on changes in
eligible production.
• For the United States, the difference in methodology for
calculating MPS results in reported support differences ranging
from $3 billion to $16 billion over 1995-2007. Combined with
significantly different methods for classifying direct support to
producers, these MPS results contribute to the OECD producer
support estimate (PSE) ranging from $13 billion to $40 billion
higher than the WTO aggregate measurement of support (AMS) over the
same period.
• It may be possible to translate from one system to the other,
perhaps to recreate a missing year of data or to develop new
composite indicators, but the task requires a detailed knowledge of
the methodologies used by both systems, a detailed understanding of
country policies, sufficient reporting transparency to identify
individual programs, and some choices about how to recalculate
unique measures, like MPS.
How Was the Study Conducted?
A comparative framework for analyzing the two domestic support
measurement systems was built by examining the origins, purposes,
and classification schemes of both through published documentation
and their use in reports and databases since the mid-1990s. This
framework allows for juxtaposing the detailed classification and
measurement methods of each system and making direct comparisons of
how they would be applied across a set of country policies. The
impacts the differing categorization and measurement methods could
have on domestic support reporting are demonstrated by analyzing
their application to U.S. programs and data reporting from 1995 to
2007. The U.S. examples also provide an opportunity to clarify some
common misconceptions about comparability between the WTO and OECD
systems.